Race 9A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Max Neubelt 9.3% 11.9% 11.2% 10.6% 11.8% 11.2% 10.3% 7.7% 7.3% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Greiner Hobbs 37.9% 23.2% 15.1% 11.5% 4.9% 3.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robby Gearon 9.5% 12.7% 13.8% 11.9% 10.8% 13.1% 9.7% 7.3% 5.4% 2.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.4%
Lee Dumaliang 7.3% 10.7% 10.5% 13.3% 10.6% 8.9% 11.1% 8.6% 8.3% 5.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.7%
Daniel Lawless 6.8% 6.5% 9.2% 9.9% 10.5% 8.3% 10.3% 10.2% 9.8% 8.5% 5.0% 3.8% 1.2%
John Lawless 5.4% 4.9% 7.8% 7.1% 9.0% 9.3% 10.8% 9.5% 9.6% 9.0% 8.1% 7.0% 2.5%
Anders Ekholm 4.7% 4.4% 5.2% 5.8% 7.6% 6.9% 8.0% 9.8% 9.9% 11.7% 11.9% 9.1% 5.0%
Nathaniel Johansson 10.0% 11.9% 10.8% 12.6% 11.7% 11.6% 10.5% 8.2% 4.8% 4.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Tyler Rochon 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% 5.7% 6.0% 8.1% 11.9% 17.6% 32.2%
Korbin Kierstead 2.6% 3.5% 3.8% 3.2% 4.2% 6.5% 5.6% 8.6% 10.4% 10.6% 13.3% 14.4% 13.3%
Paul Hart 1.2% 2.0% 3.1% 4.6% 5.1% 4.7% 5.4% 7.1% 9.8% 10.9% 12.8% 16.5% 16.8%
Alexander Singh 2.2% 3.4% 3.9% 4.3% 5.9% 6.8% 6.7% 7.1% 9.4% 12.4% 13.5% 13.4% 11.0%
Colton Gerber 1.6% 3.0% 3.4% 2.7% 4.5% 5.4% 6.4% 9.1% 8.9% 10.7% 13.5% 14.5% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.