Race 10A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathaniel Johansson 9.4% 11.8% 13.1% 10.6% 11.4% 13.5% 7.2% 8.5% 6.7% 4.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Daniel Lawless 6.2% 6.7% 7.7% 9.5% 10.4% 10.5% 9.3% 10.5% 9.7% 8.7% 5.5% 4.0% 1.3%
John Lawless 3.7% 4.6% 7.1% 8.8% 7.5% 9.1% 10.9% 9.9% 12.6% 8.9% 8.5% 5.6% 2.8%
Greiner Hobbs 34.4% 23.1% 16.8% 11.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Robby Gearon 12.9% 12.3% 13.4% 11.0% 12.5% 10.8% 10.0% 6.5% 4.4% 3.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Lee Dumaliang 8.2% 11.9% 10.5% 12.3% 11.4% 10.4% 10.2% 5.8% 8.9% 5.2% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3%
Max Neubelt 11.8% 10.0% 10.9% 10.5% 12.9% 10.8% 9.8% 7.9% 6.2% 5.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Colton Gerber 2.5% 2.7% 3.2% 4.8% 4.1% 5.0% 7.4% 8.2% 8.9% 10.9% 13.4% 16.6% 12.3%
Korbin Kierstead 2.2% 3.7% 3.3% 4.2% 4.5% 4.4% 6.1% 8.1% 9.9% 11.3% 13.6% 15.1% 13.6%
Alexander Singh 3.2% 4.8% 2.7% 4.9% 4.9% 5.8% 8.3% 9.2% 9.9% 12.0% 11.2% 12.1% 11.0%
Anders Ekholm 3.2% 4.3% 6.9% 6.1% 7.0% 8.0% 9.6% 11.4% 9.7% 9.9% 10.9% 8.1% 4.9%
Paul Hart 1.2% 2.8% 2.1% 3.5% 3.9% 4.6% 5.1% 7.5% 7.0% 11.6% 13.0% 16.3% 21.4%
Tyler Rochon 1.1% 1.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 3.2% 4.6% 5.6% 5.8% 8.7% 12.3% 18.7% 31.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.