Race 11A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Robby Gearon 10.4% 13.0% 13.3% 11.9% 12.8% 11.5% 10.0% 5.8% 5.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Max Neubelt 9.6% 10.0% 13.8% 10.6% 12.2% 9.4% 10.7% 9.1% 6.9% 3.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Anders Ekholm 2.4% 4.1% 5.3% 5.8% 8.4% 6.5% 9.5% 11.0% 9.8% 10.4% 11.9% 9.8% 5.1%
Lee Dumaliang 9.5% 9.1% 11.1% 11.7% 9.4% 12.3% 9.2% 9.7% 6.7% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Greiner Hobbs 35.0% 23.8% 17.4% 10.1% 5.8% 4.5% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 6.0% 7.9% 7.8% 9.5% 9.0% 11.0% 9.7% 10.1% 9.3% 7.9% 6.3% 4.2% 1.3%
Nathaniel Johansson 11.9% 10.3% 11.7% 13.1% 11.4% 11.0% 8.0% 7.9% 7.1% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2%
John Lawless 4.9% 7.4% 5.6% 7.5% 7.2% 10.8% 7.8% 10.8% 12.7% 9.7% 7.2% 5.9% 2.5%
Tyler Rochon 1.2% 2.5% 2.3% 2.0% 3.8% 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 5.5% 7.7% 13.6% 17.4% 32.2%
Alexander Singh 3.6% 3.8% 3.4% 5.3% 5.0% 5.3% 8.6% 8.7% 9.1% 12.5% 11.7% 13.2% 9.8%
Colton Gerber 2.1% 2.6% 3.7% 5.4% 5.8% 4.5% 7.9% 6.4% 10.5% 12.5% 13.0% 13.5% 12.1%
Paul Hart 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 4.8% 4.6% 5.7% 7.0% 6.8% 11.0% 12.5% 17.7% 20.4%
Korbin Kierstead 1.7% 3.2% 2.1% 4.1% 4.4% 5.5% 7.5% 7.5% 9.5% 11.4% 13.8% 13.8% 15.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.