Race 12A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathaniel Johansson 9.6% 11.9% 12.6% 11.8% 10.3% 13.5% 8.1% 8.0% 6.7% 3.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Robby Gearon 10.8% 13.2% 12.6% 12.2% 14.2% 8.8% 8.6% 9.0% 3.9% 4.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.5%
Greiner Hobbs 35.8% 21.9% 17.5% 11.2% 6.3% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Lawless 4.4% 5.7% 6.0% 7.5% 8.8% 9.7% 10.3% 9.3% 10.9% 9.8% 7.4% 6.7% 3.5%
Lee Dumaliang 8.7% 11.3% 11.1% 10.8% 11.1% 9.6% 9.9% 10.1% 7.8% 3.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Max Neubelt 9.8% 11.3% 11.9% 13.6% 10.7% 9.6% 10.2% 8.4% 6.2% 3.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.4%
Anders Ekholm 4.6% 4.6% 5.2% 6.1% 7.3% 6.9% 9.0% 9.6% 9.8% 11.3% 13.1% 7.6% 4.9%
Colton Gerber 2.1% 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% 4.1% 4.6% 7.9% 7.8% 10.7% 11.5% 11.2% 16.5% 12.8%
Paul Hart 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 3.5% 3.5% 3.8% 6.0% 6.2% 8.8% 12.0% 11.8% 15.1% 21.7%
Daniel Lawless 6.9% 6.9% 7.2% 8.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 8.9% 9.8% 7.4% 5.4% 5.1% 2.0%
Tyler Rochon 1.4% 1.1% 2.1% 2.7% 3.4% 4.9% 3.7% 5.6% 7.5% 9.2% 14.1% 16.5% 27.8%
Alexander Singh 2.1% 3.2% 4.3% 4.2% 5.6% 8.2% 6.5% 7.7% 10.1% 11.4% 12.5% 12.6% 11.6%
Korbin Kierstead 2.2% 2.1% 3.0% 4.3% 4.1% 5.6% 7.4% 8.8% 7.4% 12.4% 13.5% 15.1% 14.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.