Race 13A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Greiner Hobbs 35.2% 23.9% 16.0% 11.6% 6.9% 2.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Robby Gearon 10.7% 12.0% 13.7% 13.4% 11.9% 11.5% 8.2% 7.1% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Daniel Lawless 5.2% 6.4% 8.1% 9.9% 9.3% 11.4% 9.9% 11.1% 8.9% 7.4% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6%
Max Neubelt 9.3% 11.0% 11.6% 12.0% 11.7% 9.8% 10.3% 9.0% 6.5% 4.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.4%
John Lawless 5.8% 5.8% 7.2% 6.9% 7.8% 10.4% 9.5% 9.9% 9.2% 11.5% 7.5% 5.9% 2.6%
Lee Dumaliang 9.3% 10.0% 11.3% 12.9% 10.0% 11.5% 8.5% 8.3% 6.2% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.6%
Nathaniel Johansson 11.0% 12.8% 11.6% 10.1% 12.5% 10.8% 10.2% 7.8% 6.3% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Tyler Rochon 1.5% 2.5% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 3.0% 4.3% 5.0% 7.4% 8.3% 12.4% 17.5% 30.7%
Alexander Singh 2.2% 3.7% 4.8% 4.1% 5.8% 4.6% 8.9% 7.6% 10.4% 10.6% 13.2% 13.8% 10.3%
Korbin Kierstead 2.5% 3.9% 3.1% 3.9% 3.9% 5.2% 7.9% 8.7% 10.7% 9.7% 12.6% 13.8% 14.1%
Paul Hart 2.1% 1.6% 3.4% 3.3% 5.4% 4.6% 5.9% 8.3% 8.8% 11.5% 13.2% 14.8% 17.1%
Anders Ekholm 3.1% 4.4% 4.4% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 8.6% 7.8% 10.6% 12.2% 10.9% 10.5% 6.5%
Colton Gerber 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 3.5% 4.6% 6.3% 6.1% 8.5% 8.1% 11.8% 13.1% 15.0% 15.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.