Race 2B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Vincent Storino 5.2% 6.0% 6.5% 7.9% 9.6% 9.0% 9.1% 11.0% 10.5% 9.9% 9.0% 5.1% 1.2%
Hector Guzman 28.7% 22.2% 16.2% 11.5% 8.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Margaret Kilvert 9.7% 14.2% 11.7% 11.0% 11.9% 12.1% 9.4% 7.9% 6.0% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Gray Kiger 8.7% 9.6% 11.6% 11.4% 11.2% 9.1% 12.0% 8.3% 7.8% 5.8% 2.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Austin Haag 4.6% 3.8% 4.3% 6.4% 7.1% 7.0% 8.1% 9.2% 11.0% 10.4% 14.3% 10.2% 3.6%
Brad Seferian 12.6% 13.7% 13.7% 11.6% 10.6% 11.2% 7.8% 7.7% 4.9% 3.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Noah Janssen 6.0% 3.7% 7.0% 6.8% 6.2% 5.9% 10.0% 10.5% 9.6% 13.5% 11.5% 6.6% 2.7%
Allison Cahn 5.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.2% 7.6% 8.7% 9.5% 12.2% 10.7% 10.7% 8.6% 4.5% 1.4%
Peter Steo 7.5% 9.0% 9.1% 8.4% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 8.5% 9.4% 6.8% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Juan Lejarraga 8.1% 8.1% 7.7% 10.4% 8.4% 11.1% 9.8% 9.4% 9.6% 8.0% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5%
Kristoffer Olsen 1.5% 1.2% 2.8% 3.3% 3.7% 4.1% 5.1% 5.8% 7.8% 10.7% 17.6% 20.7% 15.7%
Ian Palmer 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 2.3% 2.8% 3.0% 4.6% 5.9% 7.8% 10.6% 23.0% 34.0%
Mason Sheen 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 1.7% 3.3% 5.9% 8.0% 11.4% 22.1% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.