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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+5.34vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.17+10.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.18+3.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+4.62vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.56+0.99vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.06+0.79vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.64+1.77vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.53+1.30vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.17-1.97vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.66-1.32vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.79-3.05vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-3.14vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.45-3.30vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+0.28vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73-0.83vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.25-4.34vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.40-4.01vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.10-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Yale University1.7010.5%1st Place
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12.36Northeastern University-0.172.1%1st Place
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6.28Tufts University1.1811.3%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.1%1st Place
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5.99Boston College1.5610.5%1st Place
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6.79University of Vermont1.0610.0%1st Place
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8.77Tulane University0.646.2%1st Place
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9.3Bowdoin College0.534.8%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College1.178.8%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University0.665.0%1st Place
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7.95Brown University0.797.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.645.0%1st Place
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9.7Harvard University0.454.5%1st Place
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14.28Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.7%1st Place
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14.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.731.4%1st Place
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11.66Boston University0.252.6%1st Place
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12.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.401.9%1st Place
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11.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.102.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Nick Budington | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lola Kohl | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Cole Amaral | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte West | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Grace Ivancich | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Theresa Straw | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 29.4% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 25.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Shayne Bersin | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 14.3% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.