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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.58+8.15vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.06+9.49vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.63+5.97vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.72+3.31vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.90+1.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+2.14vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+2.45vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+0.75vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.91-2.50vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92+1.04vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.11-0.88vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.17-6.22vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.80-6.11vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.70-6.83vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-4.31vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-8.85vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy2.79-6.49vs Predicted
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20Tufts University3.21-9.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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11.49Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.97Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.31College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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7.54Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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10.45Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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12.04Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.89Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.17Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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11.69University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.51U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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10.34Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Glackin | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Cameron Hall | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% |
| Ike Babbitt | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| William Bowman | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Haley Powell | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.6% |
| Quentin Chafee | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% |
| John Stokes | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| James Simmons | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| James Allsopp | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 18.6% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.