Race 6B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Vincent Storino 6.3% 4.3% 6.9% 8.0% 9.2% 10.1% 7.6% 11.7% 11.9% 9.6% 8.3% 5.3% 0.8%
Hector Guzman 27.6% 23.7% 16.1% 11.5% 7.8% 4.9% 4.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Steo 7.1% 8.5% 7.9% 12.2% 10.3% 9.7% 11.7% 8.8% 8.4% 8.0% 4.2% 2.9% 0.3%
Margaret Kilvert 10.7% 12.7% 12.7% 11.6% 11.1% 10.8% 10.1% 7.4% 6.1% 3.4% 2.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Juan Lejarraga 7.2% 8.2% 8.9% 9.9% 8.5% 9.8% 9.4% 9.7% 10.6% 9.4% 4.6% 2.7% 1.1%
Brad Seferian 12.6% 14.2% 12.9% 11.7% 12.0% 9.0% 8.7% 7.5% 5.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Austin Haag 4.8% 4.0% 5.6% 5.6% 6.3% 6.1% 7.0% 8.8% 12.1% 12.0% 13.7% 10.1% 3.9%
Ian Palmer 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 2.8% 4.9% 6.1% 8.1% 14.5% 22.1% 28.8%
Gray Kiger 9.6% 9.3% 10.2% 11.5% 11.1% 10.6% 10.1% 9.3% 7.1% 5.2% 3.9% 1.5% 0.6%
Noah Janssen 4.5% 5.3% 5.2% 5.1% 7.4% 9.7% 9.4% 9.3% 10.8% 11.5% 9.9% 8.0% 3.9%
Allison Cahn 5.7% 6.2% 7.7% 6.7% 8.0% 11.1% 10.6% 10.8% 10.0% 9.0% 8.6% 3.9% 1.7%
Kristoffer Olsen 1.5% 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.2% 6.5% 10.3% 15.8% 21.9% 19.9%
Mason Sheen 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.9% 1.4% 3.3% 3.8% 4.6% 8.8% 11.9% 20.8% 38.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.