Race 7B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Margaret Kilvert 11.1% 11.7% 12.4% 12.5% 11.7% 10.1% 10.1% 7.7% 6.2% 3.5% 2.6% 0.2% 0.2%
Vincent Storino 5.2% 6.2% 7.2% 7.9% 6.7% 8.7% 12.1% 10.3% 11.1% 9.7% 9.3% 4.1% 1.5%
Hector Guzman 29.0% 20.4% 15.8% 12.9% 8.8% 5.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Gray Kiger 9.5% 9.5% 9.9% 11.2% 13.2% 10.1% 9.3% 8.6% 8.1% 5.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Brad Seferian 12.6% 14.8% 13.3% 10.5% 10.7% 11.3% 8.4% 6.4% 5.4% 4.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Austin Haag 3.9% 4.5% 4.4% 5.1% 6.9% 6.1% 8.7% 9.7% 11.1% 12.7% 12.9% 9.3% 4.7%
Kristoffer Olsen 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 5.7% 5.1% 6.5% 11.6% 15.5% 22.4% 15.8%
Allison Cahn 4.9% 6.7% 6.0% 8.2% 8.9% 9.3% 8.1% 11.6% 11.2% 12.7% 7.1% 4.1% 1.2%
Noah Janssen 4.9% 4.7% 5.1% 6.8% 6.2% 7.8% 8.7% 9.8% 12.4% 10.6% 10.7% 9.4% 2.9%
Peter Steo 8.3% 8.0% 10.6% 8.7% 10.8% 10.8% 7.4% 10.5% 8.9% 7.4% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8%
Juan Lejarraga 6.8% 9.1% 9.4% 9.3% 10.0% 10.8% 10.1% 10.3% 8.3% 7.3% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0%
Mason Sheen 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 1.4% 1.9% 3.9% 4.1% 4.3% 5.7% 12.1% 22.0% 39.1%
Ian Palmer 1.3% 0.9% 1.7% 1.9% 1.3% 2.9% 3.3% 4.2% 5.7% 9.2% 14.4% 21.0% 32.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.