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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+6.82vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+6.36vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+6.15vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+1.60vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.54+3.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+2.15vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+3.62vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.10+1.80vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.78-2.03vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-0.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.08+2.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.68-1.49vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.81-3.27vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.45-6.68vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-5.48vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.38-8.15vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.13-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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5.6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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8.02Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.15Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.62Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.8Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.61Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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14.18University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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10.73Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.57University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Tautz | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kayla McComb | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Katrina Williams | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Amanda Baker | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 34.1% |
| Sara Burke | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.