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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.72+7.55vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+4.64vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+4.81vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+3.94vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+4.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+3.21vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.58+1.92vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93+3.65vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+2.83vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.63-0.99vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.91-5.26vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.21-3.09vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.79-2.89vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.78-8.15vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.11-6.03vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.23-7.43vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University3.06-7.68vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College3.70-11.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.81Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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7.94Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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8.92Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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11.83Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.01Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.74Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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12.11U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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7.85Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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10.57Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.32Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.24Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hall | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| John Stokes | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Vargas | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Ike Babbitt | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Edward Glackin | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| James Simmons | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% |
| Haley Powell | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% |
| Daniel Perkins | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| William Bowman | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% |
| James Allsopp | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 16.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% |
| Eric Decesar | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.