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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.24+1.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.54vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.44+1.84vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University1.57+0.60vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University1.57-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.24+6.89vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.26-0.27vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.64-2.54vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.53-3.07vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.65+0.45vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.52-5.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.11-3.67vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.11-1.64vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.21-2.23vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.49-2.48vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.01-4.80vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.32-5.19vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.11-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Southern California2.240.2%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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5.6Arizona State University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.6Arizona State University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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14.89University of California at Santa Cruz-1.240.0%1st Place
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6.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Berkeley0.260.0%1st Place
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8.46University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Berkeley0.530.0%1st Place
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13.45University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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11.33University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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14.36Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.77University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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15.52University of California at Davis-1.490.0%1st Place
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14.2University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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14.81University of California at Irvine-1.320.0%1st Place
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14.36Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 21.4% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aline | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aline | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Burke | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hopkins | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gabassi | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Rust | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Madden | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 24.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Khorsandi | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Guy | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Rust | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.