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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.57+4.11vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.00vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.44+2.42vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.24-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.64+2.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.24+6.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.26+0.03vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-4.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.11-0.57vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.11+1.80vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.53-4.98vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.32-0.07vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.65-2.90vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.21-2.04vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.49-2.33vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.01-4.94vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.11-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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5.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Southern California2.240.3%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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7.98University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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13.86University of California at Santa Cruz-1.240.0%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Berkeley0.260.0%1st Place
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5.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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10.43University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.8Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Berkeley0.530.0%1st Place
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13.93University of California at Irvine-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
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13.96University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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14.67University of California at Davis-1.490.0%1st Place
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13.06University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.8Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 10.7% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 26.1% | 21.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Burke | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Hopkins | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Rust | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gabassi | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Guy | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Madden | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Khorsandi | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Rust | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.