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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.24+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.44+3.29vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.26+3.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.11+3.30vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.24+5.41vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.53-1.91vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.65+1.13vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.61-4.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.45-1.58vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.06-0.73vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.01-2.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.49-1.73vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-11.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of Southern California2.240.3%1st Place
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5.29University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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4.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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5.1University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Berkeley0.260.0%1st Place
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10.3University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.41University of California at Santa Cruz-1.240.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Berkeley0.530.0%1st Place
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12.13University of California at Irvine-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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11.42University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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13.27University of California at Irvine-1.060.0%1st Place
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12.96University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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14.27University of California at Davis-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upamanyu Dutta | 26.3% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| David Hopkins | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Jeremy Burke | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 21.1% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Gabassi | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jake Zarraonandia | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Stacey Agustin | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 17.5% |
| Cameron Khorsandi | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 14.1% |
| Sierra Madden | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 30.1% |
| Liam Hood | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.