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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.92vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.61+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.87+2.65vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38+5.87vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.62+6.01vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.62+5.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.24+2.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19-0.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.39+1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.28-2.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.62+5.59vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-3.17vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.29-5.29vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-3.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.40-1.49vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.06-3.86vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.17-1.40vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-2.53-1.56vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.65-4.84vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.17-4.40vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego0.80-15.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92University of California at Berkeley1.480.2%1st Place
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3.69University of Southern California1.610.2%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.870.1%1st Place
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9.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.01Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.01Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.85University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Berkeley-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Southern California0.280.1%1st Place
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16.59University of California at Davis-2.620.0%1st Place
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8.83University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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10.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.51University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Irvine-1.060.0%1st Place
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15.6Arizona State University-2.170.0%1st Place
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16.44University of California at Irvine-2.530.0%1st Place
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14.16University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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15.6Arizona State University-2.170.0%1st Place
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5.51University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Hansen | 18.7% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Comerford | 22.6% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Klotz | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kartikye Mittal | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adityavardhan Vijay Shah | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 23.6% | 33.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Agustin | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Patterson | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Penaloza | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 33.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Nideffer | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Patterson | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.