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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.61+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.19+4.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.87+1.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+3.94vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68+4.75vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.62+3.63vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38+1.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.80-3.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.29-3.62vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.28-4.34vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.83-1.80vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.62-3.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.40-1.58vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.06-3.92vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.62-0.39vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-2.53-1.60vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.17-3.40vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.65-6.18vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.17-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Southern California1.610.2%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Berkeley1.480.2%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Berkeley0.190.1%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Santa Cruz0.870.1%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.63Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.58University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.38University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Southern California0.280.1%1st Place
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11.2University of California at Berkeley-0.830.0%1st Place
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10.63Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.42University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Irvine-1.060.0%1st Place
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16.61University of California at Davis-2.620.0%1st Place
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16.4University of California at Irvine-2.530.0%1st Place
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15.6Arizona State University-2.170.0%1st Place
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13.82University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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15.6Arizona State University-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Comerford | 21.9% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 19.4% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Klotz | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Walker | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthieu Laurent | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Agustin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adityavardhan Vijay Shah | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 22.8% | 34.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Penaloza | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 33.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Patterson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Nideffer | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Patterson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.