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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+7.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+4.52vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+8.88vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.70+4.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.79+7.03vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+1.91vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+2.03vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+1.62vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.11+1.94vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92+1.92vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.91-3.34vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.90-4.16vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.23-2.73vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.58-5.46vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.72-7.80vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.63-8.30vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University2.54-5.74vs Predicted
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20Tufts University3.21-9.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.52Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.24Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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7.91Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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11.92Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.84Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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10.27Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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8.2College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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8.7Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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13.26Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.25Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| John Stokes | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| James Simmons | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| James Allsopp | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% |
| Ike Babbitt | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| Haley Powell | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% |
| William Bowman | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Vargas | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Edward Glackin | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Hall | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 24.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.