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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+5.19vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.53+7.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+5.62vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.56+2.03vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.70+1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.06+0.89vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.79+0.94vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.10+2.80vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.40+3.79vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.25+1.83vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.64-2.15vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.66-3.29vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.17-0.69vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.17-6.94vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-5.86vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.45-6.23vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73-2.77vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Tufts University1.1810.7%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College0.535.3%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.4%1st Place
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6.03Boston College1.5611.5%1st Place
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6.35Yale University1.7010.2%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont1.068.8%1st Place
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7.94Brown University0.797.4%1st Place
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10.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.103.1%1st Place
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12.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.401.8%1st Place
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11.83Boston University0.252.7%1st Place
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8.85Tulane University0.645.5%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University0.664.7%1st Place
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12.31Northeastern University-0.172.4%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College1.179.4%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.644.9%1st Place
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9.77Harvard University0.454.0%1st Place
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14.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.731.1%1st Place
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14.34Maine Maritime Academy-0.821.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cole Amaral | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Nick Budington | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Alex Adams | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Ivancich | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Shayne Bersin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 13.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 7.4% |
| Lola Kohl | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% |
| Charlotte West | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Theresa Straw | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 26.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.