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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.87+4.06vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.61+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.29+3.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.80+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.42vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.28+1.04vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.75+5.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.39+0.88vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.65vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-0.07vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-2.78vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.75+0.99vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.06-1.86vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.22-2.32vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-6.30vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-2.53-1.25vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.65-4.12vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.62-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.870.1%1st Place
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3.39University of Southern California1.610.2%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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5.42University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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3.58University of California at Berkeley1.480.2%1st Place
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7.04University of Southern California0.280.1%1st Place
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12.99Arizona State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Berkeley-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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9.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.22University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.99Arizona State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Irvine-1.060.0%1st Place
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11.68University of California at San Diego-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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14.75University of California at Irvine-2.530.0%1st Place
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12.88University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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15.08University of California at Davis-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Klotz | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Comerford | 23.2% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 21.5% | 20.6% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Ayd | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Kartikye Mittal | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Ayd | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Agustin | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Jabuka | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Penaloza | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 22.7% | 35.2% | 0.0% |
| Jason Nideffer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Adityavardhan Vijay Shah | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 22.7% | 39.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.