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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.19+5.92vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.29+3.66vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.28+2.86vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.61-1.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.80-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+0.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.87-2.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.83+0.98vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.24-2.78vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.06-1.32vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.22-1.90vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.65-1.78vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-2.53-0.86vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.62-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92University of California at Berkeley0.190.1%1st Place
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3.63University of California at Berkeley1.480.2%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Berkeley0.290.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Southern California0.280.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Southern California1.610.2%1st Place
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5.36University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.870.1%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Berkeley-0.830.0%1st Place
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9.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.22University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.1%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Irvine-1.060.0%1st Place
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11.1University of California at San Diego-1.220.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Irvine-2.530.0%1st Place
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14.29University of California at Davis-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitney Ziesing | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 22.6% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mason Comerford | 23.3% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 8.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Klotz | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthieu Laurent | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Dallas Butler | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Hallie Muller | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Stacey Agustin | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Jacqueline Jabuka | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 3.6% |
| Jason Nideffer | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 9.9% |
| Ivan Penaloza | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 26.3% | 38.1% |
| Adityavardhan Vijay Shah | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 24.2% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.