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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.19+4.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.80+2.24vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.28+2.86vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+2.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.29+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.24+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.87-3.00vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.83+0.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.06+0.78vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.61-7.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.22-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.65-0.77vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-4.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-2.53-0.87vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.62-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of California at Berkeley1.480.2%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Berkeley0.190.1%1st Place
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5.24University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Southern California0.280.1%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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8.37University of California at Los Angeles-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.870.1%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Berkeley-0.830.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Irvine-1.060.0%1st Place
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3.36University of Southern California1.610.3%1st Place
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11.11University of California at San Diego-1.220.0%1st Place
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12.23University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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9.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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14.13University of California at Irvine-2.530.0%1st Place
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14.29University of California at Davis-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Hansen | 20.5% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lopez | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Katey Hayes | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Muller | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Klotz | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthieu Laurent | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Stacey Agustin | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Mason Comerford | 25.4% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Jabuka | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 3.8% |
| Jason Nideffer | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 9.3% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Ivan Penaloza | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 26.2% | 38.7% |
| Adityavardhan Vijay Shah | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 23.1% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.