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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+6.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+4.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.58+6.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91+3.41vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+7.97vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+1.98vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80+0.90vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+1.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+0.04vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93+1.87vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.72-2.57vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.70-3.30vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.63-4.53vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.79-2.15vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-3.36vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.21-5.53vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.23-7.50vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont3.11-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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7.41Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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12.97Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.98Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.43College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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8.7Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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8.47Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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11.64Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.47Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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10.5Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| John Stokes | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| William Bowman | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 24.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% |
| Ike Babbitt | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| James Simmons | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% |
| Cameron Hall | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| James Allsopp | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.