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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+5.53vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.53+7.20vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.18+3.35vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.17+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.06+2.06vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.10+5.01vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.56-1.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.66+0.65vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.79-1.06vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.25+1.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-2.39vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.17+0.53vs Predicted
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13Tulane University0.64-4.05vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+0.34vs Predicted
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15Harvard University0.45-5.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-7.27vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.40-4.15vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Yale University1.709.8%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College0.535.8%1st Place
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6.35Tufts University1.189.9%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College1.178.2%1st Place
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7.06University of Vermont1.068.8%1st Place
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11.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.103.1%1st Place
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5.95Boston College1.5611.5%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University0.665.8%1st Place
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7.94Brown University0.796.3%1st Place
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11.74Boston University0.252.5%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.086.3%1st Place
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12.53Northeastern University-0.172.5%1st Place
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8.95Tulane University0.645.6%1st Place
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14.34Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.9%1st Place
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9.66Harvard University0.454.3%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.645.8%1st Place
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12.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.401.9%1st Place
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14.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.731.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Amaral | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte West | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Nick Budington | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 10.9% |
| Lola Kohl | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 29.5% |
| Theresa Straw | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Shayne Bersin | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 14.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.