← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.48+6.47vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.96vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+5.67vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.24+4.67vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.82+4.98vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.60+1.41vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island3.84-0.69vs Predicted
-
8Yale University4.24-3.06vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College3.56-1.42vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University3.16-1.17vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.49-3.18vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.69+1.88vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy3.30-4.52vs Predicted
-
14Washington College1.63+0.17vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.53-7.54vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.16-3.37vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College2.71-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.47Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.67Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.98Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.41Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
6.31University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
4.94Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
-
7.58Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
8.83Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
-
7.82Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
13.88Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
14.17Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
-
7.46Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
12.63Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
-
10.74Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Long | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Tara | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.7% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| John Rolander | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Brian Baker | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 23.2% | 29.8% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 37.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Peter Christensen | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 15.1% |
| Walter Florio | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.