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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.05vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+4.74vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+3.65vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24-0.06vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+1.49vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56+0.45vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+0.53vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+0.02vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.16-1.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.49-3.10vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.82-1.68vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.71-2.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.30-5.44vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.63-0.87vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.16-3.25vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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4.94Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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8.87Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.32Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Naval Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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14.13Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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12.5Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.3% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| John Rolander | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 5.2% |
| Walter Florio | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% |
| Parker Loftus | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 39.7% |
| Peter Christensen | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 16.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.