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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+5.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.17+5.09vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.56+3.20vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.69+1.21vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.70+1.57vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.06+1.12vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.45+2.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+1.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.17+3.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-1.13vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.25+1.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.66-3.08vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+1.46vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.10-2.96vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.53-5.60vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73-1.64vs Predicted
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17Brown University0.79-8.66vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.40-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Tufts University1.188.6%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College1.177.7%1st Place
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6.2Boston College1.569.7%1st Place
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5.21Tulane University1.6914.8%1st Place
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6.57Yale University1.707.8%1st Place
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7.12University of Vermont1.068.0%1st Place
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9.93Harvard University0.454.4%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.645.9%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University-0.171.7%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.5%1st Place
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12.01Boston University0.252.1%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University0.665.1%1st Place
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14.46Maine Maritime Academy-0.821.1%1st Place
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11.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.103.9%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College0.534.5%1st Place
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14.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.731.1%1st Place
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8.34Brown University0.796.3%1st Place
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13.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.401.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte West | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 14.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Theresa Straw | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 29.0% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Cole Amaral | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 26.0% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Shayne Bersin | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.