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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+10.73vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.90+5.67vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.63+5.86vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+3.81vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.58+3.81vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.11+4.93vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.21+3.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+0.97vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.91-1.61vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.23+0.63vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.17-4.47vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-1.90vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.92-2.46vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-2.19vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.72-7.82vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.79-5.69vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College3.70-10.50vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College3.78-12.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.73University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.67Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.81Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.63Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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6.53Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.0%1st Place
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11.54Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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12.81Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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12.31U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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8.5Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| William Bowman | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| John Stokes | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ike Babbitt | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Haley Powell | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 20.5% |
| Cameron Hall | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| James Allsopp | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 16.5% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.