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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.95vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+6.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.41vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.71+6.73vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+2.32vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+1.86vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16+5.67vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.82+2.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.63vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.53-2.59vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.60-3.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.30-3.55vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-4.07vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.16-4.80vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-7.26vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-3.40vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.58Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.32Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.67Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.11Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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9.2Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.24Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 16.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Walter Florio | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| John Rolander | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 16.4% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Trevor Long | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Tara | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 17.4% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.