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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+7.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+5.64vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.71+7.70vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+3.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.21vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+1.79vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16+5.65vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-1.71vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+0.04vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.56-2.66vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.24-5.81vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.82-1.67vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-5.11vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-5.73vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-5.95vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-1.72vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.65Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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5.19Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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10.33Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.89Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.05Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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14.28Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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12.55Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| John Rolander | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Walter Florio | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Long | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 41.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.