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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+6.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+4.25vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+4.47vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+5.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.41vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+0.74vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.13+0.71vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.07vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75+0.39vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.52+3.55vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-3.03vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-2.73vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.79-3.85vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.72-4.54vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-6.00vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.31-5.02vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.22-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.25Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.74Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.71Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.39Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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13.55Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.15Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.46Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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10.98Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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14.41Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 20.5% | 26.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
| Bayard Lalor | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 17.4% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.