← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.18+6.16vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+4.36vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.79+5.78vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.06vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.72+3.94vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.81+2.94vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.47-0.76vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.13-0.60vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.29vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.09-2.48vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.71-1.67vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.75-3.00vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-3.98vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.22+0.23vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.42-1.46vs Predicted
-
16Washington College1.52-2.64vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College3.19-9.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.16Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
-
6.36Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.78Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
7.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
8.94Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.94Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
-
6.24Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
7.4Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.71U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
7.52University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.33Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
-
9.0Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
-
14.23Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
-
13.54Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
-
13.36Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.41Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Bayard Lalor | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 20.5% | 37.4% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 22.3% | 25.7% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 23.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.