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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+5.10vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.81+6.58vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+4.25vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.72+5.16vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+2.32vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+3.08vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.79+1.80vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.71+0.95vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-2.45vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19-2.85vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.52+2.29vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.42+1.57vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-5.99vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-4.93vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-6.16vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-2.28vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.25Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.16Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.8Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.95Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.29Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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13.57Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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13.72Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Read | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 27.1% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 21.5% | 27.7% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 29.7% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.