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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+6.32vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.72+6.92vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+4.31vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+4.78vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+3.75vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+3.01vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-0.65vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-1.88vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.71+0.33vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-1.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.43vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.79-3.26vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.42+0.63vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-7.00vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.19-7.79vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.52-2.58vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.92Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.31Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.0%1st Place
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6.35Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.33Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.74Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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13.63Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.42Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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13.71Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Read | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Stephen Duncan | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 20.2% | 29.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 23.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.