Race 1A

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bailey Carter 7.5% 8.4% 8.2% 9.0% 7.0% 9.2% 9.1% 9.1% 8.8% 9.5% 8.1% 4.7% 1.4%
Rose Edwards 8.0% 8.5% 9.4% 7.9% 9.5% 10.1% 9.5% 8.9% 7.6% 8.3% 6.9% 4.5% 0.9%
Julia Lambert 8.1% 9.5% 11.7% 10.0% 9.8% 9.1% 9.6% 9.5% 7.8% 6.3% 4.7% 3.4% 0.5%
Elise Gehling 5.2% 4.9% 7.0% 8.1% 7.5% 7.2% 6.8% 7.9% 10.5% 10.7% 12.2% 8.4% 3.6%
Casey Klingler 12.1% 12.4% 11.2% 11.3% 8.3% 9.4% 9.2% 8.3% 5.8% 5.2% 3.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 16.5% 16.6% 13.9% 10.2% 10.2% 8.5% 7.2% 5.6% 5.6% 2.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Adelaide Ferguson 8.9% 8.0% 7.4% 8.1% 7.4% 9.3% 9.2% 8.2% 9.3% 9.9% 7.7% 5.2% 1.4%
Miranda Bakos 7.2% 8.5% 7.5% 7.0% 9.1% 8.4% 9.1% 9.6% 9.4% 10.2% 7.0% 5.6% 1.4%
Hannah Hughes 6.4% 5.1% 5.9% 6.6% 6.9% 7.9% 8.4% 8.9% 10.3% 8.2% 10.9% 10.7% 3.8%
Carolyn Smith 13.1% 10.3% 10.4% 11.6% 12.4% 6.9% 7.3% 10.0% 6.1% 4.7% 3.9% 2.0% 1.3%
Samara Leith 2.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 5.4% 4.1% 6.2% 8.9% 12.2% 23.2% 22.4%
Kate Klement 4.1% 4.5% 3.9% 5.6% 7.1% 7.5% 6.7% 7.8% 8.9% 10.0% 12.9% 14.6% 6.4%
Rachel Yannelli 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 1.3% 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 3.7% 5.3% 8.0% 14.3% 56.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.