← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.05+4.32vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University2.58+4.68vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.38+1.46vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.48vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.90+0.73vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.34+1.36vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.74vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.61-1.42vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin2.12-0.88vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.76-3.84vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-4.69vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida0.74-0.64vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.36-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.32Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.68George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
4.46Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
-
7.48U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
5.73Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.36Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
-
5.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.58Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
-
8.12University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
-
6.16Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
11.36University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
-
10.17Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 15.1% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 3.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Kate Klement | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 6.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 54.2% |
| Samara Leith | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 25.1% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.