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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+5.71vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.56+4.27vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.17+4.40vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.69+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.06+2.15vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.10+5.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+2.03vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.18-1.54vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.40+3.99vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.53-0.56vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.66-2.19vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.79-3.79vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+1.44vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.17-1.37vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.25-3.05vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73-1.92vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-7.91vs Predicted
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18Harvard University0.45-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Yale University1.708.8%1st Place
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6.27Boston College1.5610.0%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College1.177.1%1st Place
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5.21Tulane University1.6913.5%1st Place
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7.15University of Vermont1.067.0%1st Place
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11.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.103.4%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.3%1st Place
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6.46Tufts University1.189.8%1st Place
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12.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.402.1%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College0.534.3%1st Place
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8.81Tufts University0.666.0%1st Place
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8.21Brown University0.796.3%1st Place
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14.44Maine Maritime Academy-0.821.1%1st Place
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12.63Northeastern University-0.172.1%1st Place
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11.95Boston University0.252.1%1st Place
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14.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.731.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.646.0%1st Place
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9.95Harvard University0.453.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte West | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ashley Hoguet | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Shayne Bersin | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% |
| Cole Amaral | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 29.6% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 26.9% |
| Calvin Marsh | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.