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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.21+9.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+6.14vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.11+8.15vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.17+2.39vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+2.94vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91+1.42vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.90+0.50vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92+3.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-0.01vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.23+0.62vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-0.02vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.58-4.34vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.63-5.71vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.72-7.78vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.54-3.81vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.79-5.65vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College3.70-11.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.63Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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8.14Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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6.39Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.94Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.5Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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11.56Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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10.62Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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8.29Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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13.19Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.35U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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8.15Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Liebenberg | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% |
| John Stokes | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| William Bowman | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Haley Powell | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Ike Babbitt | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| James Simmons | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
| Edward Glackin | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Hall | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 24.3% |
| James Allsopp | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 15.4% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.