Race 4A

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Casey Klingler 12.5% 11.6% 9.9% 11.1% 9.6% 10.6% 8.5% 8.1% 6.0% 5.8% 4.0% 2.2% 0.1%
Rose Edwards 8.3% 8.4% 8.1% 9.7% 9.9% 9.4% 8.0% 9.4% 7.8% 8.3% 7.2% 4.2% 1.3%
Carolyn Smith 10.3% 11.0% 12.9% 10.0% 9.8% 8.7% 10.9% 8.4% 6.6% 4.7% 3.7% 2.6% 0.4%
Hannah Hughes 4.9% 5.8% 6.8% 6.8% 7.8% 7.4% 7.2% 8.2% 9.6% 10.4% 12.0% 8.4% 4.7%
Bailey Carter 8.3% 8.2% 7.5% 8.9% 9.9% 7.2% 7.9% 8.5% 10.7% 9.1% 7.3% 4.4% 2.1%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 16.6% 14.4% 14.0% 11.8% 11.4% 7.9% 7.6% 5.5% 4.6% 2.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Miranda Bakos 8.0% 8.3% 7.8% 6.6% 8.1% 8.5% 9.8% 8.5% 9.1% 9.3% 7.7% 6.6% 1.7%
Maeve White 9.8% 11.8% 9.0% 10.1% 8.5% 9.9% 9.7% 9.5% 6.6% 6.2% 5.8% 2.6% 0.5%
Megan Hostetter 1.1% 1.6% 2.3% 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 2.9% 3.3% 3.6% 5.9% 6.9% 19.3% 47.5%
Kate Klement 5.3% 4.9% 4.7% 5.3% 5.2% 8.6% 6.8% 7.7% 9.0% 10.6% 12.8% 11.3% 7.8%
Elise Gehling 5.4% 6.5% 6.6% 7.9% 7.3% 7.5% 8.8% 9.3% 10.0% 8.8% 9.7% 7.2% 5.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.5% 6.0% 8.2% 7.9% 7.6% 9.1% 7.4% 9.1% 9.8% 10.3% 8.8% 5.6% 2.7%
Samara Leith 2.0% 1.5% 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 4.5% 4.5% 6.6% 8.2% 11.4% 24.8% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.