Race 5A

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rose Edwards 8.5% 7.9% 8.7% 10.9% 8.6% 8.1% 9.7% 9.5% 8.6% 7.6% 6.8% 3.7% 1.4%
Bailey Carter 7.1% 7.4% 7.4% 8.0% 9.2% 9.2% 9.3% 8.7% 8.8% 10.0% 7.8% 4.9% 2.2%
Hannah Hughes 4.2% 5.5% 6.6% 6.5% 8.0% 8.0% 6.9% 8.8% 9.6% 11.5% 10.3% 10.6% 3.5%
Casey Klingler 11.6% 11.0% 11.8% 10.7% 9.5% 10.5% 9.5% 6.9% 6.0% 6.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Carolyn Smith 11.7% 12.6% 11.5% 10.4% 8.6% 9.4% 10.2% 7.2% 7.7% 4.2% 3.6% 2.4% 0.5%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 15.9% 16.5% 13.9% 10.4% 12.0% 6.8% 7.4% 7.4% 3.8% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Kate Klement 6.3% 4.9% 5.4% 6.1% 4.7% 6.4% 6.4% 7.9% 9.5% 10.6% 12.6% 12.3% 6.9%
Megan Hostetter 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 2.1% 3.6% 4.7% 5.5% 8.6% 17.0% 47.4%
Elise Gehling 6.7% 5.0% 5.4% 5.9% 8.1% 7.5% 7.7% 8.9% 11.1% 8.9% 11.1% 9.1% 4.6%
Miranda Bakos 8.0% 7.8% 6.6% 8.0% 9.4% 10.5% 7.4% 6.6% 9.2% 8.5% 9.8% 5.2% 3.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.2% 9.4% 7.1% 9.4% 8.6% 8.1% 10.2% 9.1% 8.4% 8.7% 6.3% 4.7% 2.8%
Maeve White 10.0% 8.9% 11.6% 8.3% 8.2% 9.9% 9.3% 10.4% 6.5% 7.6% 5.0% 3.5% 0.8%
Samara Leith 1.6% 1.3% 2.7% 3.2% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 5.0% 6.1% 7.9% 12.0% 23.9% 26.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.