Race 6A

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Casey Klingler 11.8% 11.3% 11.2% 11.2% 9.6% 10.8% 9.0% 6.5% 6.7% 5.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Bailey Carter 7.0% 7.6% 9.1% 6.8% 9.7% 9.5% 7.9% 9.3% 8.5% 8.5% 8.7% 5.4% 2.0%
Rose Edwards 8.0% 8.5% 9.4% 8.5% 9.3% 9.8% 8.4% 11.3% 8.1% 8.3% 4.9% 4.5% 1.0%
Samara Leith 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.5% 4.1% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 5.5% 9.1% 11.9% 19.9% 28.6%
Carolyn Smith 11.5% 14.0% 11.4% 9.3% 8.9% 8.3% 10.9% 8.6% 6.0% 4.6% 3.4% 2.3% 0.8%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 16.7% 16.2% 12.9% 13.3% 9.4% 8.5% 6.1% 5.6% 4.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Miranda Bakos 8.2% 7.5% 7.6% 8.2% 8.1% 8.9% 8.7% 8.9% 9.2% 8.5% 8.1% 5.8% 2.3%
Kate Klement 4.7% 5.8% 4.5% 6.0% 5.8% 6.0% 8.0% 8.2% 9.3% 10.8% 12.7% 11.5% 6.7%
Hannah Hughes 6.2% 5.4% 6.0% 6.3% 7.9% 6.6% 7.0% 9.0% 10.5% 10.2% 10.4% 10.2% 4.3%
Adelaide Ferguson 8.3% 7.0% 7.1% 9.4% 8.8% 8.4% 9.0% 7.8% 8.4% 8.7% 7.8% 6.9% 2.4%
Megan Hostetter 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 2.6% 2.4% 2.1% 3.0% 3.6% 4.1% 6.5% 8.6% 18.0% 46.0%
Maeve White 10.1% 7.6% 11.9% 9.4% 9.1% 9.2% 9.5% 8.5% 8.4% 6.9% 5.2% 3.2% 1.0%
Elise Gehling 4.6% 6.1% 5.5% 6.5% 6.9% 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 10.5% 9.5% 11.7% 9.5% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.