← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+5.53vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.76+4.24vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.36+7.17vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.49vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.05+0.28vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.73vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin2.12+0.91vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.58-1.35vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.38-4.51vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.90-4.28vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.34-3.75vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.61-5.22vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida0.87-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.24Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
10.17Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
-
7.49U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
5.28Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
5.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.91University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
-
6.65George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
4.49Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
-
5.72Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.25Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.78Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
-
11.21University of South Florida0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Samara Leith | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 24.4% | 25.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Kate Klement | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 15.4% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Megan Hostetter | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.