Race 8A

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Carolyn Smith 12.1% 10.9% 9.5% 11.2% 10.4% 9.2% 10.4% 7.8% 5.9% 6.1% 3.6% 2.5% 0.4%
Rose Edwards 8.6% 8.1% 9.2% 8.5% 9.4% 9.9% 8.1% 8.0% 9.7% 7.6% 7.3% 4.5% 1.1%
Adelaide Ferguson 5.7% 8.3% 8.7% 7.4% 9.2% 8.3% 8.8% 9.8% 9.3% 8.6% 7.4% 6.3% 2.2%
Casey Klingler 11.1% 11.8% 12.3% 10.3% 9.2% 9.8% 8.8% 8.1% 6.2% 5.6% 4.5% 1.5% 0.8%
Miranda Bakos 8.3% 6.9% 7.8% 9.1% 8.0% 7.3% 9.0% 9.9% 10.2% 7.7% 7.6% 5.8% 2.4%
Julia Lambert 10.2% 10.4% 10.9% 10.4% 9.5% 9.9% 9.3% 5.8% 7.5% 6.7% 4.7% 3.7% 1.0%
Hannah Hughes 6.8% 6.1% 7.1% 7.2% 5.2% 7.2% 8.2% 9.5% 8.8% 9.5% 11.3% 8.6% 4.5%
Bailey Carter 7.6% 8.9% 7.6% 9.0% 7.6% 7.9% 8.9% 9.8% 9.8% 9.2% 7.3% 5.1% 1.3%
Kate Klement 4.5% 5.2% 5.3% 3.6% 7.3% 6.2% 5.6% 8.6% 9.7% 11.7% 11.8% 13.7% 6.8%
Elise Gehling 6.7% 4.8% 6.8% 6.0% 7.8% 9.5% 7.8% 8.3% 7.2% 10.8% 10.3% 8.9% 5.1%
Samara Leith 2.1% 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 3.8% 4.3% 4.8% 4.7% 6.3% 8.3% 13.4% 22.4% 22.8%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 15.2% 15.7% 11.6% 12.0% 10.5% 9.3% 8.1% 6.4% 5.1% 2.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Megan Hostetter 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 1.2% 2.2% 3.3% 4.3% 5.3% 8.7% 16.1% 51.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.