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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+5.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+5.26vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.54vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+2.79vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+0.48vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.51vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-2.75vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34-0.63vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.90-3.15vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.36+0.23vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-4.30vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.12-3.89vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.87-1.90vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-1.36-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.79George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.48Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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4.25Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.85Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.23Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.7Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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11.1University of South Florida0.870.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Maryland-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 17.9% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 24.4% | 4.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 0.7% |
| Megan Hostetter | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 41.9% | 6.4% |
| Rachel Finci | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 6.7% | 87.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.