Race 10A

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 16.2% 13.5% 13.6% 11.7% 11.6% 9.4% 7.8% 5.0% 4.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Casey Klingler 10.5% 12.3% 9.9% 11.9% 11.1% 9.1% 8.0% 8.1% 7.1% 5.9% 3.3% 2.5% 0.3%
Julia Lambert 8.3% 10.1% 12.0% 9.4% 9.3% 9.4% 9.8% 8.3% 7.9% 7.5% 4.1% 3.0% 0.9%
Carolyn Smith 11.9% 11.0% 10.6% 12.1% 9.2% 9.3% 8.4% 7.2% 8.1% 5.3% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5%
Rose Edwards 9.4% 9.6% 8.7% 8.6% 9.7% 7.0% 9.8% 9.7% 7.7% 8.2% 6.5% 4.1% 1.0%
Elise Gehling 6.5% 5.7% 5.6% 7.3% 7.7% 7.1% 7.1% 10.1% 9.5% 10.1% 10.1% 10.3% 2.9%
Miranda Bakos 8.6% 7.9% 8.6% 6.5% 7.6% 8.9% 8.8% 8.9% 9.0% 8.9% 8.6% 5.5% 2.2%
Kate Klement 4.3% 5.9% 4.7% 5.3% 5.6% 5.8% 8.8% 7.9% 8.5% 11.6% 13.0% 12.7% 5.9%
Bailey Carter 7.7% 6.5% 8.0% 9.2% 7.7% 8.3% 10.1% 8.7% 8.8% 8.8% 7.9% 5.6% 2.7%
Hannah Hughes 6.8% 5.4% 5.0% 7.0% 7.5% 8.2% 7.8% 8.9% 9.0% 9.5% 11.0% 8.5% 5.4%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.4% 8.5% 9.3% 7.0% 8.6% 10.9% 8.0% 9.5% 8.9% 7.2% 7.9% 4.5% 2.3%
Samara Leith 1.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 3.0% 5.1% 3.2% 4.5% 5.8% 7.0% 13.4% 22.8% 26.5%
Megan Hostetter 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 3.2% 4.8% 6.7% 7.6% 17.9% 49.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.