Race 12A

navy-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kate Klement 4.4% 5.4% 4.0% 5.2% 7.4% 7.5% 6.7% 7.3% 10.2% 9.0% 13.3% 13.4% 6.2%
Hannah Hughes 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 8.1% 5.2% 8.6% 7.0% 10.2% 8.1% 11.1% 11.1% 9.3% 4.3%
Casey Klingler 10.3% 11.8% 12.0% 10.8% 9.2% 10.1% 9.6% 7.8% 6.4% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.3%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 15.8% 16.5% 13.2% 10.8% 10.5% 8.3% 7.3% 6.8% 5.9% 2.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Julia Lambert 11.1% 10.8% 8.9% 10.0% 9.3% 9.4% 10.0% 7.9% 7.0% 5.8% 5.9% 3.0% 0.9%
Rose Edwards 9.0% 8.0% 10.5% 8.5% 9.2% 9.8% 9.1% 8.5% 8.7% 6.4% 7.0% 4.2% 1.1%
Carolyn Smith 12.3% 12.3% 10.7% 10.4% 9.9% 9.5% 8.1% 7.3% 7.9% 6.0% 3.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Elise Gehling 5.5% 6.6% 7.5% 5.3% 6.3% 7.4% 9.9% 8.2% 8.5% 11.6% 10.9% 8.7% 3.6%
Bailey Carter 7.7% 6.1% 7.6% 9.1% 9.9% 7.4% 9.7% 9.3% 8.0% 9.5% 8.0% 5.8% 1.9%
Miranda Bakos 8.3% 7.0% 6.9% 9.3% 8.6% 9.8% 7.3% 8.6% 7.9% 10.0% 7.5% 5.7% 3.1%
Samara Leith 1.8% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 4.4% 3.4% 4.7% 4.7% 6.9% 9.3% 11.5% 22.4% 23.5%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.3% 6.9% 8.5% 8.2% 8.0% 7.7% 7.8% 10.6% 9.2% 8.2% 7.6% 7.1% 2.9%
Megan Hostetter 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 1.4% 2.1% 1.1% 2.8% 2.8% 5.3% 4.9% 7.7% 16.6% 51.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.