Race 1A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Gerard Tonachel 16.1% 15.0% 15.6% 15.5% 13.1% 12.2% 8.3% 3.3% 0.9%
Nathaniel Sabatt 25.9% 23.2% 16.9% 15.5% 9.0% 5.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Samuel Bedinger 10.9% 12.4% 12.8% 13.8% 14.9% 14.8% 11.6% 7.3% 1.5%
Tyler Kennedy 18.2% 18.2% 17.8% 15.7% 12.5% 8.5% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5%
Jessica Thal 7.8% 10.5% 13.3% 9.7% 13.4% 13.8% 16.3% 10.3% 4.9%
Mary Gamber 10.6% 10.0% 10.6% 13.5% 16.0% 15.6% 13.9% 7.4% 2.4%
Paul Luisi 2.8% 3.1% 2.2% 4.7% 6.2% 9.3% 12.1% 30.7% 28.9%
Taylor Hoover 2.0% 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.6% 4.8% 9.8% 19.6% 53.1%
Joan Boyle 5.7% 6.0% 8.1% 8.8% 11.3% 15.1% 19.2% 18.1% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.