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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+4.44vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.80+6.55vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.10+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.38+3.23vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.78+3.23vs Predicted
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6Boston University-0.96+2.67vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97-1.63vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46+4.75vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-0.66-1.06vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.58-2.32vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-0.99vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.54-1.42vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.36-6.66vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.10-4.67vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.37-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.8%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University-0.804.9%1st Place
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4.93University of New Hampshire0.1014.2%1st Place
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7.23University of New Hampshire-0.387.4%1st Place
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8.23Bentley University-0.784.4%1st Place
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8.67Boston University-0.964.5%1st Place
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5.37Salve Regina University0.9712.2%1st Place
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12.75University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.461.1%1st Place
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7.94Brandeis University-0.666.2%1st Place
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7.68Bates College-0.587.2%1st Place
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10.01Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.313.1%1st Place
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10.58Williams College-1.542.6%1st Place
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6.34McGill University-0.368.5%1st Place
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9.33Bentley University-1.104.2%1st Place
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6.96Middlebury College-0.377.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Delong | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Blanc | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Sam Harris | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas David | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 50.3% |
| Myles Hazen | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Harrison Nash | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Jackson Harney | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 9.0% |
| Tess Halpern | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 14.7% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 7.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.