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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+3.44vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.12+6.07vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.34+4.43vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.36vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.36+4.88vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90-0.31vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61-0.47vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-2.75vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.32vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-3.80vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58-4.49vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.45vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.74-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.07University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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7.43Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.88Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.69Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.53Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.25Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.2Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.51George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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11.42University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 16.0% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kate Klement | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 4.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Samara Leith | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 24.8% | 21.7% |
| Julia Lambert | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 16.5% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.