Race 14A

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 17.0% 13.5% 13.6% 11.0% 12.0% 9.4% 8.1% 4.7% 4.5% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Casey Klingler 10.9% 12.1% 10.7% 11.3% 9.6% 9.7% 8.9% 8.0% 6.3% 6.3% 3.7% 2.0% 0.5%
Adelaide Ferguson 6.1% 7.4% 7.7% 8.9% 8.3% 8.3% 8.8% 10.2% 9.3% 9.9% 8.0% 4.9% 2.2%
Carolyn Smith 12.1% 10.3% 10.9% 11.3% 8.7% 10.5% 9.2% 7.8% 6.5% 6.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Julia Lambert 10.6% 11.0% 10.4% 9.2% 9.0% 8.8% 9.3% 8.7% 9.3% 4.6% 5.2% 3.1% 0.8%
Elise Gehling 6.3% 6.2% 6.5% 5.3% 6.8% 9.1% 7.3% 9.1% 11.3% 9.2% 9.1% 10.3% 3.5%
Kate Klement 5.6% 5.4% 5.8% 5.4% 5.1% 6.0% 6.4% 8.6% 8.5% 11.6% 13.8% 12.1% 5.7%
Bailey Carter 7.8% 7.2% 8.0% 8.6% 9.7% 8.0% 10.2% 8.2% 9.2% 9.4% 7.0% 5.2% 1.5%
Samara Leith 2.1% 2.9% 1.9% 2.8% 4.1% 3.4% 3.0% 4.3% 6.2% 7.7% 13.2% 24.0% 24.4%
Rose Edwards 9.3% 9.0% 8.9% 9.3% 9.4% 8.9% 8.1% 8.7% 7.6% 7.9% 6.9% 5.3% 0.7%
Miranda Bakos 7.3% 7.7% 8.4% 9.0% 8.6% 9.1% 8.7% 9.7% 8.3% 8.0% 8.4% 4.6% 2.2%
Rachel Yannelli 0.4% 1.6% 1.3% 1.3% 2.0% 1.7% 3.0% 2.9% 3.8% 4.9% 6.7% 17.2% 53.2%
Hannah Hughes 4.5% 5.7% 5.9% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 9.0% 9.1% 9.2% 10.7% 11.6% 9.0% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.