Race 1B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Robertson 4.6% 4.3% 5.9% 6.0% 7.4% 10.0% 9.3% 9.1% 12.4% 11.0% 11.4% 5.6% 3.0%
Louisa Nordstrom 21.3% 17.2% 16.5% 14.5% 9.1% 7.6% 5.8% 4.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Riley Legault 10.6% 11.8% 13.3% 10.2% 12.0% 9.4% 11.4% 7.8% 7.3% 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3%
Greer Wattson 8.7% 9.5% 8.8% 12.0% 10.6% 9.1% 10.6% 9.2% 9.0% 6.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.6%
Haddon Hughes 9.9% 10.0% 8.3% 9.9% 11.1% 9.9% 8.8% 11.4% 8.0% 5.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.4%
Christine Moloney 5.3% 5.0% 7.1% 6.5% 7.1% 9.2% 9.8% 9.4% 10.7% 11.2% 8.7% 7.6% 2.4%
Hannah Steadman 18.3% 17.7% 13.0% 13.8% 10.8% 9.4% 7.3% 4.7% 2.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Maria El-Khazindar 10.6% 10.3% 11.0% 9.7% 10.4% 11.9% 11.0% 9.3% 7.1% 4.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Anna Patterson 2.6% 3.6% 3.3% 4.3% 4.6% 4.7% 6.1% 8.6% 9.4% 12.7% 15.6% 15.3% 9.2%
Cailin Considine 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.5% 3.3% 3.1% 5.1% 7.1% 12.6% 19.2% 38.7%
Erin Coyne 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.7% 4.2% 3.4% 5.0% 7.3% 10.7% 14.6% 21.6% 24.5%
Grace Howie 4.7% 5.7% 6.7% 6.8% 8.8% 8.2% 9.0% 11.3% 11.3% 11.5% 7.8% 5.0% 3.2%
Sylvia Hopkins 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 2.0% 3.4% 3.9% 4.2% 6.8% 8.3% 13.0% 15.4% 19.2% 17.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.