Race 2B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Louisa Nordstrom 19.4% 19.3% 17.1% 11.7% 9.4% 9.4% 6.8% 3.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Hannah Steadman 17.5% 17.1% 14.4% 15.1% 9.4% 9.3% 7.0% 4.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Sylvia Hopkins 2.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.1% 3.0% 4.6% 4.9% 7.4% 8.8% 11.6% 15.9% 20.6% 15.1%
Christine Moloney 4.3% 5.3% 5.1% 6.7% 8.8% 9.1% 7.9% 10.6% 11.5% 11.5% 10.8% 6.4% 2.0%
Greer Wattson 9.5% 9.3% 10.6% 10.1% 10.9% 10.0% 9.5% 10.1% 7.9% 5.8% 4.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Mary Robertson 6.0% 4.1% 6.4% 6.5% 7.3% 7.6% 9.5% 10.7% 11.0% 10.7% 10.5% 6.5% 3.2%
Anna Patterson 4.3% 2.8% 2.8% 4.6% 5.0% 5.9% 5.6% 6.6% 9.9% 14.5% 14.9% 14.4% 8.7%
Grace Howie 5.8% 6.4% 5.4% 7.5% 8.4% 8.6% 11.4% 10.4% 12.9% 9.3% 7.6% 5.0% 1.3%
Maria El-Khazindar 9.9% 9.8% 11.4% 10.8% 12.1% 8.9% 9.8% 9.7% 7.2% 4.8% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Cailin Considine 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 2.3% 4.1% 4.8% 8.1% 12.5% 19.8% 37.4%
Riley Legault 11.9% 13.4% 12.5% 11.0% 11.0% 11.7% 10.4% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Haddon Hughes 7.5% 8.5% 8.8% 9.9% 10.4% 9.5% 10.7% 11.0% 9.1% 7.0% 4.8% 2.6% 0.2%
Erin Coyne 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 4.2% 4.7% 6.2% 11.0% 12.3% 20.4% 31.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.