Race 3B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Louisa Nordstrom 20.5% 17.3% 15.8% 14.3% 9.8% 8.7% 6.0% 2.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Haddon Hughes 7.6% 9.8% 9.7% 9.7% 10.2% 10.6% 11.6% 9.3% 8.7% 6.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
Greer Wattson 8.2% 9.0% 9.4% 9.8% 11.8% 10.8% 10.0% 10.7% 7.8% 6.7% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Sylvia Hopkins 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 3.6% 4.5% 5.8% 5.5% 9.4% 10.1% 15.5% 19.6% 17.4%
Erin Coyne 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 1.8% 2.7% 2.9% 3.3% 4.5% 6.9% 8.7% 14.2% 22.4% 27.2%
Riley Legault 12.9% 11.7% 11.7% 10.8% 11.8% 10.9% 8.4% 8.7% 5.1% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Anna Patterson 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 4.1% 5.2% 5.4% 6.3% 6.4% 10.4% 12.6% 16.5% 15.2% 7.5%
Hannah Steadman 16.7% 18.4% 15.2% 11.9% 13.5% 8.6% 6.7% 4.7% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Maria El-Khazindar 10.4% 9.7% 10.7% 10.7% 10.4% 10.8% 10.3% 9.9% 6.6% 5.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.7%
Christine Moloney 5.7% 5.5% 6.1% 6.6% 5.8% 8.3% 10.4% 11.0% 9.3% 11.6% 9.4% 7.3% 3.0%
Mary Robertson 4.5% 5.3% 6.6% 7.8% 6.1% 8.5% 9.2% 11.9% 11.6% 10.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.9%
Grace Howie 5.8% 5.2% 5.8% 8.0% 7.5% 7.7% 9.7% 10.6% 13.5% 12.3% 7.4% 4.8% 1.7%
Cailin Considine 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 2.3% 4.0% 5.1% 8.9% 12.1% 20.1% 38.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.