Race 4B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Maria El-Khazindar 9.9% 10.9% 9.9% 11.1% 11.8% 10.8% 10.8% 8.3% 6.6% 5.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.4%
Greer Wattson 9.3% 8.4% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 11.2% 9.7% 9.6% 9.1% 6.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
Haddon Hughes 7.8% 9.0% 10.2% 9.0% 10.8% 10.3% 10.9% 9.6% 8.8% 7.0% 4.2% 2.1% 0.3%
Louisa Nordstrom 20.1% 19.7% 13.5% 15.2% 9.7% 7.3% 7.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Erin Coyne 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 3.0% 2.8% 3.3% 5.2% 7.6% 8.2% 13.0% 23.2% 26.3%
Riley Legault 12.1% 12.1% 12.0% 12.4% 10.3% 12.5% 7.0% 8.0% 5.4% 4.6% 3.1% 0.3% 0.2%
Hannah Steadman 18.1% 16.5% 14.8% 12.6% 12.4% 7.5% 6.9% 6.0% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Howie 5.5% 6.4% 7.5% 6.5% 7.2% 9.6% 10.7% 10.3% 10.8% 11.4% 7.9% 4.9% 1.3%
Mary Robertson 4.6% 5.2% 5.5% 6.1% 6.7% 8.4% 7.6% 10.4% 12.1% 13.6% 9.4% 7.5% 2.9%
Christine Moloney 5.5% 5.3% 6.3% 6.0% 7.5% 8.1% 10.8% 10.2% 10.3% 10.8% 8.6% 7.3% 3.3%
Anna Patterson 2.6% 2.5% 3.8% 4.5% 6.1% 5.9% 6.4% 8.1% 11.7% 12.0% 15.3% 13.3% 7.8%
Cailin Considine 0.9% 0.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 4.8% 4.5% 7.7% 12.0% 18.7% 41.1%
Sylvia Hopkins 2.0% 1.5% 2.6% 2.9% 2.7% 3.5% 5.5% 5.9% 8.4% 11.3% 18.1% 19.8% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.