Race 5B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Louisa Nordstrom 21.0% 17.4% 15.4% 13.1% 11.2% 7.7% 7.1% 2.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Riley Legault 10.3% 13.8% 11.0% 10.9% 11.0% 12.3% 10.0% 7.9% 6.0% 3.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Hannah Steadman 16.9% 18.1% 13.8% 12.7% 11.5% 10.0% 6.8% 4.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2%
Greer Wattson 8.7% 8.5% 10.2% 11.1% 10.5% 9.9% 9.6% 9.9% 9.1% 6.2% 4.4% 1.3% 0.6%
Mary Robertson 5.8% 4.4% 6.5% 6.8% 7.9% 8.4% 7.4% 10.1% 12.8% 10.7% 9.8% 6.8% 2.6%
Anna Patterson 2.9% 2.9% 4.2% 3.5% 4.8% 6.1% 6.8% 8.0% 10.2% 13.0% 15.1% 13.7% 8.8%
Christine Moloney 6.3% 4.8% 6.7% 7.3% 7.0% 8.0% 9.4% 10.1% 10.6% 11.6% 9.7% 5.6% 2.9%
Haddon Hughes 8.3% 9.5% 9.9% 8.3% 9.7% 9.9% 13.4% 11.3% 7.7% 6.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Sylvia Hopkins 1.7% 2.6% 3.0% 2.9% 3.3% 3.8% 4.4% 6.8% 8.5% 10.1% 16.0% 19.3% 17.6%
Maria El-Khazindar 11.0% 9.7% 10.9% 12.4% 11.0% 9.0% 8.2% 10.7% 6.3% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Cailin Considine 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 2.3% 1.6% 2.7% 4.0% 4.7% 5.1% 8.2% 13.3% 22.1% 32.9%
Grace Howie 5.0% 5.5% 6.3% 6.8% 9.1% 8.6% 9.9% 8.4% 11.9% 11.7% 8.8% 6.0% 2.0%
Erin Coyne 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 3.6% 3.0% 4.5% 6.0% 10.4% 13.2% 20.8% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.