Race 6B

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Louisa Nordstrom 20.8% 18.4% 15.1% 13.2% 10.1% 9.1% 6.0% 3.5% 1.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Robertson 5.1% 4.0% 5.6% 7.3% 6.6% 7.6% 9.5% 11.5% 11.5% 12.5% 9.4% 6.8% 2.6%
Hannah Steadman 16.3% 18.0% 13.9% 13.0% 11.9% 8.6% 8.0% 4.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Riley Legault 11.6% 10.7% 13.1% 11.4% 10.6% 11.9% 9.2% 6.5% 8.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Maria El-Khazindar 10.3% 11.3% 12.1% 9.9% 9.9% 10.1% 11.6% 8.6% 6.9% 4.8% 2.5% 2.0% 0.0%
Greer Wattson 8.9% 10.7% 9.3% 10.9% 11.0% 10.8% 10.0% 8.1% 7.8% 6.1% 4.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Christine Moloney 6.0% 5.2% 6.8% 6.7% 7.3% 7.9% 8.8% 10.9% 11.5% 9.7% 10.6% 6.3% 2.3%
Anna Patterson 2.1% 4.6% 3.5% 3.6% 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 8.1% 10.0% 12.9% 15.4% 16.0% 7.3%
Grace Howie 5.8% 5.6% 5.1% 8.5% 8.0% 8.8% 9.4% 11.9% 10.2% 10.1% 10.0% 4.8% 1.8%
Haddon Hughes 9.0% 8.1% 10.0% 9.8% 12.0% 9.7% 9.8% 9.6% 7.9% 7.8% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0%
Cailin Considine 1.2% 0.8% 0.9% 1.8% 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 4.7% 5.5% 9.1% 12.8% 20.2% 34.4%
Sylvia Hopkins 1.6% 1.6% 2.8% 2.7% 3.6% 4.3% 4.9% 6.3% 8.5% 11.3% 15.9% 18.9% 17.6%
Erin Coyne 1.3% 1.0% 1.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 3.4% 5.4% 7.4% 8.7% 12.9% 20.1% 32.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.